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Space Cadet  
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 More options Jul 3, 10:17 am
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: Space Cadet <kaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Jul 2008 07:17:27 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 10:17 am
Subject: Detecting people from orbit
Given a fully human habitable Earth like world
An a human population of 100,000 - 1,000,000
Living in small hunter/gather groups or small agraian groups, spread
out over the whole planet.

If you were in a spacecraft in Low Planetary Orbit
With a full suite of remote sensing gear that is only slightly more
advance that what is commerically available, ie Not military grade
hardware.

1) Asumming that you don't suspect they are their and not actively
looking for them and they don't know you are in orbit and are not
trying to hide themselves

And all you are looking for is a good spot to set down your
colony(ies)/settlement(s)

How easy or hard would it be to detect the presence of hunter/gather
groups or small family farms?

Would thermal imaging systems be able to tell the difference from
human body heat and that of a large native mammal?  How big would a
camp/cook fire have to be to be detectible from orbit?
How large would a family garden or cultivated field have to be to be
distinquished from just an ordinary open field?

2)You suspect they are people down on the planet and they don't know
you are there and you are actively looking for them, how hard or easy
would that be?

3)Same as 1, but they somehow know that you are up there, they see a
new 'star' in the sky and reconize it for what it is a ship in orbit
and take efforts to conceal themselves, how hard or easy to do that?

4)You suspect they are down there and they know you are upthere, so
you are actively looking for them, whle they are actively hidding? How
hard or easy would that make things?

Just my $0.02

Keith W of St. Louis AKA Space Cadet

http://www.geocities.com/the_wetzels/


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ncwa...@hotmail.com  
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 More options Jul 3, 11:34 am
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: ncwa...@hotmail.com
Date: Thu, 3 Jul 2008 08:34:35 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 11:34 am
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit
On 3 Jul, 16:17, Space Cadet <kaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Given a fully human habitable Earth like world
> An a human population of 100,000 - 1,000,000
> Living in small hunter/gather groups or small agraian groups, spread
> out over the whole planet.

> If you were in a spacecraft in Low Planetary Orbit
> With a full suite of remote sensing gear that is only slightly more
> advance that what is commerically available, ie Not military grade
> hardware.

That's a strange restriction.  An exploration mission is quite likely
to have hardware that is as good as military grade.  For example, I
don't think that NASA is restricted to what is commercially
available.  In fact, the explorers could well be military.

Cheers,
Nigel.


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charlesrcap...@gmail.com  
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 More options Jul 3, 12:40 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: CharlesRCap...@gmail.com
Date: Thu, 3 Jul 2008 09:40:00 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit
On Jul 3, 11:34 am, ncwa...@hotmail.com wrote:

In some cases commercially available sensors are superior to what the
military is using. When it comes to sensors I don't think there is a
meaningful difference between civilian and military, not any more.

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johnmarks...@yahoo.com  
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 More options Jul 3, 2:06 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: johnmarks...@yahoo.com
Date: Thu, 3 Jul 2008 11:06:43 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 2:06 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit
On Jul 3, 10:17 am, Space Cadet <kaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

It would be very hard to detect the difference between non-
technological humans and non-sapient animals of similar body size from
orbit. If they are at the level of building houses and warming them by
fires, these could be detected from orbit, but might perhaps be
misinterpreted if the observer isn't expecting and looking for them.

But I would think that any reasonable exploration team "looking for is
a good spot to set down your  colony(ies)/settlement(s)" would do a
fair amount of surface-level survey, in which framers or even hunter-
gatherers would be quite likely to be noticed.

(You don't make it clear, are the observers assumed to be a different
species then the observed low-tech sapients, or are we to assume a
"lost colony" or something of the sort?)

> Would thermal imaging systems be able to tell the difference from
> human body heat and that of a large native mammal?  

Not readily. If you explicitly know you are looking for a human, and
know what they look like, visual imagery from orbit could possibly
tell the difference, but if you don't know what the various animals
look like, such observation is not very helpful.

>How big would a
> camp/cook fire have to be to be detectible from orbit?

This depends critically on the exact performance of the sensors, but
more important is how good the analysis programs are. How well can a
campfire be distinguished from random hot spots (stone outcrops heated
in the sun and slow to cool, for example) or lightning-set fires. How
well do the explorers know the detailed environment and what is
plausible there?

> How large would a family garden or cultivated field have to be to be
> distinquished from just an ordinary open field?

There are lots of local, small micro environments in many non-
cultivated settings. For the field to be distinguishable is one thing,
for it to be recognized for what it is, the product of sapient
technology is quite another.

> 2)You suspect they are people down on the planet and they don't know
> you are there and you are actively looking for them, how hard or easy
> would that be?

Depends on their tech level, the quality of the sensors, and the
amount of effort you take, and how well you know what to expect. If
they are farmers, and you are looking for farmers, you will probably
find them. Hunter-gatherers, particularly ones that don't use fire,
will be hard to find unless you know exactly what they look like
compared to other animals of similar size.

> 3)Same as 1, but they somehow know that you are up there, they see a
> new 'star' in the sky and reconize it for what it is a ship in orbit
> and take efforts to conceal themselves, how hard or easy to do that?

If they had legends/memories of high-tech, they might be able to
conceal themselves fairly well, depending on their lifestyle. If they
can stay in caves during daylight, and not make fire outside at night,
they would be quite hard to find for orbit, IMO. But how would they
figure out that that is the way to hide without some fairly accurate
knowledge of tech and what it can and cannot do?

What is the point or context of these various speculations?

-JM


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Steven L.  
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 More options Jul 3, 2:51 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: "Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net>
Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2008 14:51:49 -0400
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 2:51 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit

With just the resolution you can get via Google Maps, a small family
farm is real easy to spot from orbit.  Just type in the address of a
known farm and see for yourself.  There was a farm next door to where I
used to live, and I have had fun looking at a photo of it from space.  A
baseball diamond, which is even smaller than a family farm, is easy to
spot from space too.

A hunter-gatherer group wouldn't make its presence known quite as
easily.  If they lived in large lodges or large tents, those might just
show up.  Yes, you might pick up the thermal imaging from any bonfire
they set.  But you wouldn't be able to know if the fire was a naturally
occurring brush fire or not.  Naturally occurring brush fires come in
all sizes.  Unless you saw it being lit again and again in the same
place, night after night.

> Would thermal imaging systems be able to tell the difference from
> human body heat and that of a large native mammal?  How big would a
> camp/cook fire have to be to be detectible from orbit?
> How large would a family garden or cultivated field have to be to be
> distinquished from just an ordinary open field?

Not big at all.  It's the *shape* that gives it away--more or less
rectangular or circular, suggesting the human propensity to surveying by
Euclidean geometry, rather than some irregular naturally occurring
shape.  Even more so if the field contained irrigation ditches or roads,
which are usually straight.

> 3)Same as 1, but they somehow know that you are up there, they see a
> new 'star' in the sky and reconize it for what it is a ship in orbit
> and take efforts to conceal themselves, how hard or easy to do that?

They could hide themselves, fleeing into a nearby forest or jungle.  But
erasing all evidence of their existing civilization would be much tougher.

Like I said, try browsing the satellite photos on Google Maps.  You'll
soon see how to tell man-made objects from naturally occurring ones.

--
Steven L.
Email:  sdlit...@earthlinkNOSPAM.net
Remove the NOSPAM before replying to me.


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Peter Bruells  
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 More options Jul 3, 3:00 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: Peter Bruells <user...@rogue.de>
Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2008 21:00:07 +0200
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 3:00 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit

"Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net> writes:
> Space Cadet wrote:
>> How easy or hard would it be to detect the presence of hunter/gather
>> groups or small family farms?

> With just the resolution you can get via Google Maps, a small family
> farm is real easy to spot from orbit.  Just type in the address of a
> known farm and see for yourself.  There was a farm next door to where
> I used to live, and I have had fun looking at a photo of it from
> space.  A baseball diamond, which is even smaller than a family farm,
> is easy to spot from space too.

Uncharted worlds seldom come with addresses databases compatible with
Google. :-)

        ...

> Like I said, try browsing the satellite photos on Google Maps.
> You'll soon see how to tell man-made objects from naturally
> occurring ones.

A very simple experiment would be to try to find low tech villages in
Siberia or the Amazon - only by visual.

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Don Bruder  
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 More options Jul 3, 3:27 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: Don Bruder <dak...@sonic.net>
Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2008 12:27:22 -0700
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 3:27 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit
In article <m2od5ehjyg....@rogue.de>, Peter Bruells <user...@rogue.de>
wrote:

However, his point remains valid: With technology no different than what
we have *RIGHT NOW* (AKA "High altitude photography" - the Google
interface just makes the mechanics of doing it easier) it's fairly
trivial to spot cultivated fields and similar macro-objects/features
that are, if not all-out signposts reading "intelligent life somewhere
in this vicinity" in ten foot tall flaming letters, a very strong hint
to take a closer look at the area.

--
Don Bruder - dak...@sonic.net - If your "From:" address isn't on my whitelist,
or the subject of the message doesn't contain the exact text "PopperAndShadow"
somewhere, any message sent to this address will go in the garbage without my
ever knowing it arrived. Sorry... <http://www.sonic.net/~dakidd> for more info


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cryptoguy  
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 More options Jul 3, 3:35 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: cryptoguy <treifam...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Jul 2008 12:35:22 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 3:35 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit
On Jul 3, 3:27 pm, Don Bruder <dak...@sonic.net> wrote:

Most of the 'civilized' portions of the world in Google Earth are
not satellite photos, but aerial. In the portions that are still
satellite. a small population of hunter-gatherers would go
unnoticed, especially in forested areas. Agrarian groups
*might* be noticed, if their fields are large enough, and
enough intelligence examined the right spot.

I can see my car on Google Earth. Twice.

Peter Trei


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Peter Bruells  
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 More options Jul 3, 3:36 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: Peter Bruells <user...@rogue.de>
Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2008 21:36:08 +0200
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 3:36 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit

Don Bruder <dak...@sonic.net> writes:
> In article <m2od5ehjyg....@rogue.de>, Peter Bruells <user...@rogue.de>
> wrote:

>> Uncharted worlds seldom come with addresses databases compatible with
>> Google. :-)

> However, his point remains valid: With technology no different than what
> we have *RIGHT NOW* (AKA "High altitude photography" - the Google
> interface just makes the mechanics of doing it easier) it's fairly
> trivial to spot cultivated fields and similar macro-objects/features
> that are, if not all-out signposts reading "intelligent life somewhere
> in this vicinity" in ten foot tall flaming letters, a very strong hint
> to take a closer look at the area.

It's possible - not trivial. Note that Google concentrates of places
of interest of internet users.  Lots of Google-Earth is still unmapped
- even fairly attractive touris places like the small island at the
coast of Northern Germany have a very bad resulation. I tried to find
the remains of a concrete bunker where I used to play. Walls 3 meters
high, 1,5 metres wide, angular shape. Couldn't make it out, the
resolution is too bad.

Also: Clouds. At any given moment large parts of Earth are obcured by
clouds.

It took years to create the data Google is using right now, the
by-product of a fairly large industrial base.  

The tech may be sufficient to chart a wild planet and to find
hunter-gatherer groups, but it's simply not trivial. Or rather,
perhaps trivial compared to getting to such a planet.


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cryptoguy  
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 More options Jul 3, 4:04 pm
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.science, rec.arts.sf.written
From: cryptoguy <treifam...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Jul 2008 13:04:35 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 3 2008 4:04 pm
Subject: Re: Detecting people from orbit
On Jul 3, 3:36 pm, Peter Bruells <user...@rogue.de> wrote:

I'm not sure of how thorough the coverage is, but goodly
chunks of mars have been photographed at resolutions
of 30 cm by HiRise. You can see the wheel tracks of the
rovers, and the shadows of their instrument masts. For
Phoenix (the polar lander) you can see the two solar
panels. Astonishingly, it managed to capture an image
of Phoenix as it was descending under its parachute.

You could probably make out a human only if he/she
were casting a long shadow, but any dwelling would
be visible.

The satellite portions of Google Earth are at 1m
resolution, far worse. Of course, Mars doesn't have
vegetation cover, and not much in the way of clouds
(it does have occastional dust storms).

Peter Trei


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